- The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Astros vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 42-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 34-43 ATS.
Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cardinals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Cardinals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Cardinals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 43 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.95 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI).
- 42-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 39-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 38-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -5.45% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 34-43 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -13.43% ROI).
- 32-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.25 Units / -25.82% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.65% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (162/250) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (152/260) against Framber Valdez this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (110/155) against Framber Valdez with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .459 (145 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .735 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .492 (130 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .382 (356 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 24 of 130 batters (18%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 58% (489/847) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros are just 1-6 (.143) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Astros are 71-47 (.602) on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Astros are 65-14 (.823) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are 132-37 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals are just 25-5 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Cardinals are just 22-8 (.733) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,570 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 825 strikeouts in 4,651 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have not struck out in 8 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .322 (7,088 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .736 (7,088 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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