Astros vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Astros are +100 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (+100) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-120) on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Astros vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 42-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 35-43 ATS.

Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +155O 8.5 -110+100
Cardinals +1.5 -190U 8.5 -110-120

Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+14.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Cardinals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Jose Abreu 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Tommy Edman 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Willson Contreras 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Cardinals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jose Abreu 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Tommy Edman 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Willson Contreras 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Cardinals vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jose Abreu 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Tommy Edman 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Willson Contreras 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas 3.5 -140 3.5 +105
Cristian Javier 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 40-39 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -1.08% ROI).

  • 42-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -4.86% ROI
  • 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -4.22% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-43 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -12.19% ROI).

  • 33-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.25 Units / -24.57% ROI
  • 36-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -7.87% ROI
  • 39-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.47% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (62/233) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (7/57) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .155 (59-for-380) against Cristian Javier since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (186/335) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (119/734) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (41/268) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 16% (66 SO in 407 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .253 (48-for-190) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Astros are just 1-6 (.143) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Astros are 65-14 (.823) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Astros are 71-48 (.597) on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Astros are 33-16 (.673) after a home loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Cardinals are just 26-5 (.839) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Cardinals are just 23-8 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Cardinals are just 4-14 (.222) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .437.

The Cardinals are 8-5 (.615) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Astros hitters have just 825 strikeouts in 4,651 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,570 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have not struck out in 8 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,024 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .447 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Astros have allowed 3.42 runs per game (404/118) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers over the last 30 days (23 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Jose Altuve (Astros): Heel, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
  • José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.