- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Dodgers TV Channel: SCHN | SNLA
The Houston Astros (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Astros are 52-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 41-46 ATS.
Astros vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 1-3, 6.49 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ben Casparius 6-2, 4.00 ERA
Astros vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -125 | +150 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | U 9.5 +105 | -185 |
Astros vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+26.00 Units / 325% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 68% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+15.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+15.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 79 games (+7.07 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 44-43 against the Run Line (+2.42 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 52-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 8.35% ROI
- 35-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 49-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 10.88% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 41-46 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 56-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 8.2% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.05 Units / -15.58% ROI
Dodgers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Dodgers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Dodgers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Casparius (LAD) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance McCullers has limited playing time.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .291 (30-for-103) against Ben Casparius this season — 9th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .227 — 10th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has allowed an OPS of just .500 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.052 — 100th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has walked 3% of right-handed batters this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has allowed an OPS of just .499 (122 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 10th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .668 — 90th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are 26-8 (.765) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 52-35 (.598) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 31-25 (.554) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (Ranks first runs scored) today.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 20-6 (.769) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 17-10 (.630) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Astros (Ranks second runs allowed) today.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 47% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,386/9,348 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
The Astros are batting .272 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,644 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .470 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 51% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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