- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Dodgers TV Channel: FOX
The Houston Astros (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Saturday, July 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Astros are 53-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 41-47 ATS.
Astros vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 9-4, 2.74 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 0-0, 2.25 ERA
Astros vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Astros vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Astros Best Bets Today:
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 45-43 against the Run Line (+2.42 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 53-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 8.35% ROI
- 36-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 49-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.5 Units / 10.88% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 41-47 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 56-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 8.2% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.05 Units / -15.58% ROI
Dodgers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Dodgers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +140 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (186/417) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown his curveball 56% of the time (233/417) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (90/257) against Framber Valdez this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .638 (623 total bases in 977 ABs) since last season — best in NL; League Avg: .437 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.026 (1,133 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .767 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.056 (579 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .774 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.809 (242 PA’s) when ahead in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.120 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are 12-7 (.632) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Dodgers (Ranks first runs scored) today.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 20-6 (.769) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 3-30 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Astros are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (7,050 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .911 (878 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .468 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 50% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Astros vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
