Astros vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Astros / Dodgers TV Channel: SCHN | SNLA

The Houston Astros (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.

This season, the Astros are 54-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 41-48 ATS.

Astros vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Colton Gordon 3-1, 4.44 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Emmet Sheehan 0-0, 2.25 ERA

Astros vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -120O 9 +100+165
Dodgers -1.5 +100U 9 -120-200

Astros vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+24.00 Units / 240% ROI)
  • Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+10.90 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+22.00 Units / 550% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 81 games (+9.07 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+2.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 46-43 against the Run Line (+4.42 Units / 3.96% ROI).

  • 54-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 10.67% ROI
  • 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -16.8% ROI
  • 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 8.52% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 41-48 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -8.18% ROI).

  • 56-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -1.06% ROI
  • 50-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 10.02% ROI
  • 37-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -17.38% ROI

Dodgers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +175 0.5 -210
Christian Walker (HOU) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450

Dodgers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Dodgers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -115 0.5 -110
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Dodgers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Emmet Sheehan (LAD) 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Ryan Gusto (HOU) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (43/125) against Colton Gordon this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Colton Gordon has walked 4% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Colton Gordon has allowed a slugging percentage of .742 (23 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .418 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Colton Gordon’s low breaking balls this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Emmet Sheehan has limited playing time.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Astros are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Astros are 30-4 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Astros are 33-25 (.569) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (Ranks first runs scored) today.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Dodgers are 56-34 (.622) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Dodgers are 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.

Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have put 48% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .343 (2,539 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (7,054 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (9,734 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 39% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 49% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.