- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Dodgers starting pitcher: George Sheehan
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 41-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 39-35 ATS.
Astros vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Astros vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+17.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+16.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Dodgers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Dodgers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Emmet Sheehan | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+14.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 37-38 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -3.22% ROI).
- 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.2% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 39-35 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 7.68% ROI).
- 41-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 40-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 10.31% ROI
- 29-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -17.56% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (71/358) against J.P. France this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
J.P. France has a strike rate of just 57% (112/197) over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
J.P. France has a strike rate of just 57% (112/197) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of J.P. France’s pitches (300/731) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emmet Sheehan allowed an OPS of just .100 (20 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .652 — 100th Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has allowed an OPS of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .660 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Emmet Sheehan over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents were hitless in 18 AB’s against Emmet Sheehan — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are just 1-5 (.167) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Astros are 67-8 (.893) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Astros are 64-13 (.831) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Astros are 58-32 (.644) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 38-24 (.613) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Dodgers are 7-68 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Dodgers are 29-14 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Dodgers are 135-25 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,567 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 825 strikeouts in 4,648 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 92% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
13% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,192/8,877 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 119 double plays in 1,707 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 153 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,790 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 620 of 8,649 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9 of 47 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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