- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Houston Astros (+105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Astros vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 41-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 39-37 ATS.
Astros vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | O 8 +100 | +105 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -120 | -125 |
Astros vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Madris | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bligh Madris | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Dodgers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Madris | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+15.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 68% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 39-38 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -1.11% ROI).
- 41-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -4.1% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 39-37 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 5.25% ROI).
- 43-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -5% ROI
- 41-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 9.77% ROI
- 30-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -17.14% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (365/643) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (103/163) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .356 (21-for-59) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — sixth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 13% (15/113) against Hunter Brown when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .278 (25 Total Bases / 90 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (16-for-90) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (61-for-421) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .234 (372 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are 58-33 (.637) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Astros are 147-92 (.615) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 48-81 (.372) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 29-14 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Dodgers are 40-24 (.625) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Dodgers are 154-84 (.647) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 153-70 (.686) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,567 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 124 strikeouts in 717 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 825 strikeouts in 4,648 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have not struck out in 9 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 119 double plays in 1,717 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 153 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging just .107 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (6,656 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (1025.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 628 of 8,721 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12 of 102 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Astros vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
