Astros vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

Colorado Rockies left fielder Nolan Jones (22) in sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024, in Denver.
(AP Photo/Matt York)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Astros are -190 favorites vs the Giants
  • Astros vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Astros / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | SCHN

The Houston Astros (-190) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+155) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Astros are 61-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 56-61 ATS.

Astros vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 3-1, 3.53 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carson Whisenhunt 2-3, 7.37 ERA

Astros vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -115O 8 -110-190
Giants +1.5 -105U 8 -110+155

Astros vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+21.00 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Osleivis Basabe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Daniel Susac has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Grant McCray has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Grant McCray has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 62-58 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.56% ROI).

  • 61-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -2.11% ROI
  • 64-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 6.87% ROI
  • 49-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.35 Units / -16.31% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 56-61 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -12.1% ROI).

  • 49-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -14.55% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -4.29% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -3.99% ROI

Giants vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +425
Yordan Alvarez +425
Willy Adames +500
Christian Walker +525
Jeremy Pena +550

Giants vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jose Altuve 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Giants vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Koss 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Osleivis Basabe 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Cam Smith 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros were 41-8 (.837) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Astros hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 139 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 77 extra-base hits out of 175 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .274 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 38% of their games against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Giants are batting .254 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

30% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 203 times this season — fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.