- The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Astros vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Giants TV Channel: SCHN | NSBA
The Houston Astros (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Astros are 31-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 33-35 ATS.
Astros vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 5-3, 3.56 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 5-5, 2.92 ERA
Astros vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -115 |
Astros vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+19.50 Units / 93% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 29-39 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -11.88% ROI).
- 31-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -18.67% ROI
- 24-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -27.79% ROI
- 41-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.55 Units / 19.3% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 33-35 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -5.98% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -10.19% ROI
Giants vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Trey Cabbage (HOU) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (787/1,275) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (117/181) against Framber Valdez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .289 (168 Total Bases / 581 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 81% (35/43) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (428/969) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (354/823) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (1,811/4,557) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 50% (21 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Astros are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .061.
The Astros are just 6-34 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 162-23 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Giants are 25-165 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are just 34-55 (.382) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Giants are 33-19 (.635) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Giants are just 27-30 (.474) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 769 strikeouts in 4,421 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,209/8,831 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Astros hitters are slugging .505 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (4,135 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Giants are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Giants hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 127 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .382 since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros have allowed 3.77 runs per game (735/195) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 120 of 2,042 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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