Astros vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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San Francisco Giants' Michael Conforto against the Texas Rangers during the fourth inning of a baseball game Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Giants
  • Astros vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Astros / Giants TV Channel: SCHN | NSBA

The Houston Astros (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Astros are 31-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 33-35 ATS.

Astros vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 5-3, 3.56 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 5-5, 2.92 ERA

Astros vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +165O 7.5 -120-105
Giants +1.5 -200U 7.5 +100-115

Astros vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+19.50 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 29-39 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -11.88% ROI).

  • 31-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -18.67% ROI
  • 24-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -27.79% ROI
  • 41-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.55 Units / 19.3% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 33-35 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -5.98% ROI).

  • 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -6.8% ROI
  • 35-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.41% ROI
  • 31-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -10.19% ROI

Giants vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Trey Cabbage (HOU) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Giants vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jose Abreu (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Giants vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Webb (SF) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Framber Valdez (HOU) 5.5 +125 5.5 -165

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (787/1,275) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (117/181) against Framber Valdez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .289 (168 Total Bases / 581 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 81% (35/43) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (428/969) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (354/823) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (1,811/4,557) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 50% (21 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Astros are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .061.

The Astros are just 6-34 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 162-23 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Giants are 25-165 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Giants are just 34-55 (.382) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Giants are 33-19 (.635) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Giants are just 27-30 (.474) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.

Astros hitters have just 769 strikeouts in 4,421 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,209/8,831 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Astros hitters are slugging .505 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (4,135 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The Giants are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

Giants hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 127 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .382 since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Astros have allowed 3.77 runs per game (735/195) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 120 of 2,042 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.