Astros vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (70-38) are -160 favorites vs the Guardians (54-52)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (8-7), 3.80 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (7-5), 4.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Houston Astros (-160) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+135) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Astros vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 70-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 55-51 ATS.

Astros vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +100O 8.5 -105-160
Guardians +1.5 -120U 8.5 -115+135

Astros vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Guardians vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Austin Hedges 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Josh Naylor 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Guardians vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Austin Hedges 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Josh Naylor 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Myles Straw 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Guardians vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Austin Hedges 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Josh Naylor 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Guardians vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 3.5 +110 3.5 -155
Luis Garcia 4.5 -140 4.5 -105
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 106 games (+21.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 95 games (+21.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 92 games (+12.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 87 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 66 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+4.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 56-52 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 4.67% ROI).

  • 70-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 39-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.1 Units / -26.34% ROI
  • 65-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.9 Units / 18.26% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 55-51 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.78% ROI).

  • 54-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 3.28% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -8.67% ROI

50 of Luis Garcia’s 112 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Garcia has allowed an OBP of just .190 (84 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .210 (46-for-219) against Luis Garcia this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (82-for-395) against Luis Garcia this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 85th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (75 SO in 246 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (32/272) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

11 of Cal Quantrill’s 36 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

25 of Cal Quantrill’s 79 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Astros are 38-5 (.884) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 62-12 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 42-3 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Astros are 27-4 (.871) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Guardians are just 16-49 (.246) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Guardians are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Guardians are 33-5 (.868) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Guardians are 38-3 (.927) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Astros hitters have just 607 strikeouts in 3,323 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 144 PA’s (12%) against LHP over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,058 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Guardians hitters have just 526 strikeouts in 2,951 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.73 (461.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.

Astros pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .332 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed 227 barreled balls this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have walked 4 of 132 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (15 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 37% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Guardians vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Steven Kwan (Guardians): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.