• The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Astros / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Astros are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 5-10 ATS.

Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Cody Bolton 0-0, 3.69 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-2, 5.40 ERA

Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 66% ROI)
• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 35 away games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 7-8 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.85% ROI).

• 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -30.42% ROI
• 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 38.81% ROI
• 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -48.92% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 5-10 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -29.15% ROI).

• 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -30.4% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Astros are just 1-7 (.125) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .440.

The Astros are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Mariners are just 12-27 (.308) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Astros (second in runs scored).

The Mariners were 9-55 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have an OBP of .523 (65 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .839 (613 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .404 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .377 (613 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .236 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .691 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.47 (129.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 8.28 (66.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 9.12 (49.1 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 17% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 18 double plays in 84 opportunities (21%) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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