- The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | SCHN
The Houston Astros (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Astros are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-10 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 1-2, 5.63 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 1-2, 3.60 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -110 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -110 | -185 |
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.35 Units / 81% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 away games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 7-9 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -8.16% ROI).
- 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -33.73% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 29.53% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -40.29% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 6-10 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -21.21% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -23.58% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -17% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 7.12% ROI
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros are just 0-6 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Astros are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .024.
The Astros were 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-8 (.111) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Mariners are 12-62 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros are batting .393 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .381 (430 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Astros hitters are slugging .821 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .514 (70 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .230 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .172 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .490 (223 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 15% of batters this season — highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 8.11 (74.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
The Astros have allowed 7.67 runs per game (69/9) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (137.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 19 double plays in 87 opportunities (22%) this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .269 (3,044 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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