- The Astros are +100 favorites vs the Mariners
- Astros vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Mariners TV Channel: SCHN | RTNW | MLBN
The Houston Astros (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Astros are 56-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 42-53 ATS.
Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 2-4, 6.43 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 3-3, 3.78 ERA
Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -110 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -110 | -130 |
Astros vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.10 Units / 146% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+26.70 Units / 334% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 97 games (+17.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+14.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 48-49 against the Run Line (-0.38 Units / -0.31% ROI).
- 56-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 41-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -14.66% ROI
- 52-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +7 Units / 6.51% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 42-53 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -9.84% ROI).
- 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.81% ROI
- 53-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 9.54% ROI
- 39-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.37 Units / -18.09% ROI
Mariners vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 39% of Lance McCullers’ pitches (331/840) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Lance McCullers has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters he faced (60/200 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (90/438) against Lance McCullers this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 9% (8/92) against Lance McCullers when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Evans has allowed an OPS of 1.191 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .497 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (22/56) against Logan Evans’ breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
37% of Logan Evans’ strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 50% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (49/162) against Logan Evans this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 28-12 (.700) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Astros are 18-12 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mariners (Ranks eighth runs scored) today.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Mariners are 19-11 (.633) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Astros (Ranks third runs allowed) today.
The Mariners are 114-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 47% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.70 pitches per plate appearance since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,071 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mariners are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters are slugging .689 over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (2,319 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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