- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Marlins starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Houston Astros (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Tuesday, August 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Marlins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 68-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 55-65 ATS.
Astros vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -115 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -105 | +105 |
Astros vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Marlins vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Marlins vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Marlins vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Cueto | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 85 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 97 games (+5.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+4.54 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 89 games (+3.75 Units / 3% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.48 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.89 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 games at home (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-59 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 68-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 58-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -5.82% ROI
- 59-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -3.03% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 55-65 against the Run Line (-22.35 Units / -14.03% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 53-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 61-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 1.88% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (88/335) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (13/86) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (337/634) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (27/133) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Johnny Cueto in close and late situations since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .122 (11 GB hits out of 90 GBs) against Johnny Cueto with runners on base since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to July 22nd — Alex Faedo has the longest active streak at 5.
Hitters have chased 243 of Johnny Cueto’s 622 fastballs out of the zone (39%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Astros are 118-13 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 71-36 (.664) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 11-7 (.611) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Marlins are 7-48 (.127) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Marlins are 36-5 (.878) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Marlins are 79-11 (.878) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Marlins are 13-126 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 934 strikeouts in 5,216 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 233 strikeouts in 1,285 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 554 strikeouts in 3,135 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .577 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 278 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Marlins are batting .299 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (1245.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Astros pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D60
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Rib, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Huascar Brazoban (Marlins): Hamstring, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- José Abreu (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- José Abreu (Astros): Back, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
Bet now on Astros vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
