• The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Mets
• Astros vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Astros / Mets TV Channel: SCHN | SNY

The Houston Astros (-130) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+105) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Astros are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 59-73 ATS.

Astros vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 3-3, 3.51 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 4-3, 3.76 ERA

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.90 Units / 129% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Hunter Brown has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Robert Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Christian Scott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 64% ROI)
• Luis Robert Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+10.80 Units / 154% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 66-68 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -4.08% ROI).

• 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -5.94% ROI
• 70-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.34% ROI
• 57-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -20 Units / -13.66% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 59-73 against the Run Line (-16.55 Units / -9.93% ROI).

• 60-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -28 Units / -17.02% ROI
• 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -7.54% ROI
• 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.5% ROI

Mets vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 38-29 (.567) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 57-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mets are just 47-32 (.595) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 40-5 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .729 (2,563 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .412 this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .235 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,584 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .530 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .695 (5,026 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Astros pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 70 double plays in 948 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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