• The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Astros / Mets TV Channel: SCHN | SNY

The Houston Astros (+118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on August 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Astros are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Astros vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Bennett Sousa 1-3, 6.27 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 9-8, 3.23 ERA

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+11.10 Units / 123% ROI)
• Nelson Velázquez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.20 Units / 170% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Nolan McLean has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 away games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.15 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+13.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Astros are 50-3 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are just 23-32 (.418) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mets (18th fewest runs allowed).

The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 58-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mets are just 47-33 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 20-70 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 31-38 (.449) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 83 extra-base hits out of 192 total hits (43%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .693 (3,613 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .387 against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (2,543 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 47-33 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.15 runs per game (425/135) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 451.0 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

The Mets pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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