• The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Mets Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Astros / Mets TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Houston Astros (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Astros are 68-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-74 ATS.

Astros vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Ethan Pecko 0-0, 7.88 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 3-4, 2.91 ERA

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 101% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.20 Units / 131% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+14.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 67-69 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -4.08% ROI).

• 68-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -5.86% ROI
• 70-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 3.52% ROI
• 58-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -12.79% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 60-74 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -10% ROI).

• 61-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.1 Units / -16.81% ROI
• 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -8.2% ROI
• 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.81% ROI

Mets vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Astros are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are just 23-32 (.418) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mets (17th fewest runs allowed).

The Astros are 50-3 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 58-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mets are just 48-33 (.593) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 61-75 (.449) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 41-5 (.891) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 152 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (5,095 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 134 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 48-33 (.593) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (3,645 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.15 runs per game (429/136) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Mets won just 18% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 71 double plays in 959 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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