- The Astros are +100 favorites vs the Nationals
- Astros vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Astros / Nationals TV Channel: SCHN | NATV
The Houston Astros (+100) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-120) on July 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Astros are against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are ATS.
Astros vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 4-8, 5.58 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-7, 5.43 ERA
Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | O 10 -120 | +100 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 10 +100 | -120 |
Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+30.40 Units / 304% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 away games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | +200 |
| James Wood | +270 |
| Christian Walker | +280 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | +310 |
| Isaac Paredes | +350 |
Nationals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Nationals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Trammell | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Tena | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cam Smith | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Astros are just 14-20 (.412) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (28th runs allowed).
The Astros are just 19-25 (.432) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 18-27 (.400) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 36-11 (.766) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Nationals are 39-8 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Nationals are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Astros have scored first in just 32% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros are batting .277 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB.
Astros hitters have 60 extra-base hits out of 128 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .267 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .428 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 68% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (412.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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