- The Nationals are -125 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Nationals TV Channel: SCHN | NATV
The Houston Astros (+105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-125) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Astros are against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are ATS.
Astros vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Tatsuya Imai 5-4, 6.19 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Andrew Alvarez 2-1, 3.08 ERA
Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | O 9 +100 | +105 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -120 | -125 |
Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.90 Units / 129% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+24.10 Units / 268% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 105% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 away games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+18.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+15.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | +300 |
| James Wood | +333 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | +333 |
| CJ Abrams | +390 |
| Christian Walker | +390 |
Nationals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cam Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cam Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| CJ Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are just 14-21 (.400) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (28th runs allowed).
The Astros are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Astros are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 19-27 (.413) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 1-34 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Nationals are 39-8 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Nationals are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros are batting .252 on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Astros are batting .279 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB.
Astros hitters have 61 extra-base hits out of 130 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Nationals are batting .267 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (429 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 68% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.24 runs per game (287/46) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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