• The Nationals are -140 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Astros / Nationals TV Channel: SCHN | NATV

The Houston Astros (+115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-140) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Astros are 46-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 56-35 ATS.

Astros vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-4, 3.84 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 9-2, 2.87 ERA

Astros vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.90 Units / 129% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+23.10 Units / 231% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 away games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 away games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 46-48 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -7.21% ROI).

• 46-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -4.12% ROI
• 49-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.81% ROI
• 40-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -13.24% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 56-35 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 10.26% ROI).

• 47-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 11.38% ROI
• 55-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +18 Units / 17.6% ROI
• 34-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.25 Units / -25.65% ROI

Nationals vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Astros are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 15-21 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (28th runs allowed).

The Astros are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Astros are just 19-26 (.422) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Nationals are just 19-28 (.404) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Nationals are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Nationals are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Nationals are 39-8 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

The Astros have scored first in just 32% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,715 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting .267 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .434 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .435 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .292 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.76 (832.1 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.23 runs per game (293/47) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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