Astros vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 29

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Astros are +100 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Astros vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Astros / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on April 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Astros are 11-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 13-16 ATS.

Astros vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 1-1, 3.38 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 1-2, 6.65 ERA

Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +155O 9 -115+100
Orioles +1.5 -190U 9 -105-120

Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Matthews has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+23.70 Units / 237% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+24.70 Units / 274% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 away games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 11-19 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -25.68% ROI).

  • 11-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -31.59% ROI
  • 21-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.7 Units / 31.8% ROI
  • 9-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -42.9% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 13-16 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -9.43% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -10.61% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 18.28% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -27.47% ROI

Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +240
Pete Alonso +333
Gunnar Henderson +375
Christian Walker +400
Taylor Ward +425

Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carlos Correa 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jose Altuve 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dustin Harris 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Coby Mayo 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Dylan Beavers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Astros are just 6-12 (.333) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Astros are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Astros are just 11-19 (.367) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 3-17 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Orioles are just 74-11 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Orioles are just 2-89 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Orioles are just 39-49 (.443) after a win since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .432 (125 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.103 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .679 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .904 (175 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .220 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .144 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .209 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.96 (261.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.29 (207.1 IP) this month (24 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.