- The – are favorites vs the –
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros () visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles () on Thursday, August 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Astros vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 66-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-44 ATS.
Astros vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | O | ||
| Orioles | U |
Astros vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+14.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+13.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 75% ROI)
Orioles vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Orioles vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Orioles vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+7.34 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 84 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 92 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 111 games (+26.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 101 games (+24.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.24 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.20 Units / 45% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 59-56 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.37% ROI).
- 66-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5.1% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -3.8% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 70-44 against the Run Line (+23.15 Units / 15.62% ROI).
- 70-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.85 Units / 18.22% ROI
- 57-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 3.66% ROI
- 48-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -11.92% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has a strike rate of 70% (271/387) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (45/94) against Hunter Brown on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (97/170) against Hunter Brown this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (168/315) against Hunter Brown this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (113/372) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 23% (31 SO in 136 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has walked 4 of 21 batters (19%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .470 (111 Total Bases / 236 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — ninth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Astros are 18-8 (.692) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Astros are 31-18 (.633) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 34-17 (.667) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Astros are 172-105 (.621) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Orioles are 50-39 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 114-7 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Orioles are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 124-38 (.765) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 3,026 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 918 strikeouts in 5,107 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros have won 89% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .394 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Orioles are 24-11 (.686) against the run line (24.2% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Orioles hitters are slugging .668 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (1229.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .177 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Orioles have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- José Abreu (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Knee, Day-to-Day
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