• The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Astros / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SCHN | TBS

The Houston Astros (+118) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on September 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Astros are 73-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 60-83 ATS.

Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 4-1, 3.18 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-8, 5.56 ERA

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+13.50 Units / 225% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+16.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+12.15 Units / 203% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 74-70 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI).

• 73-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -4.54% ROI
• 71-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.25% ROI
• 64-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -8.9% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 60-83 against the Run Line (-28.5 Units / -16.91% ROI).

• 81-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.18% ROI
• 64-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -9.45% ROI
• 72-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 1.3% ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Astros are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are 54-4 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are 63-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Phillies are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-50 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 45-5 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 160 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .237 (2,849 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,706 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .365 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .480 (2,902 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .700 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,219 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,219 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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