• The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Astros / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on September 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Astros are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.

Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 5-3, 3.31 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 16-5, 2.58 ERA

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+11.15 Units / 159% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+3.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Astros are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are 64-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 55-4 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Phillies are 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-57 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 162 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .238 (2,875 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .482 (2,923 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .702 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 127 extra-base hits out of 259 total hits (49%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .236 (2,923 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.06 runs per game (444/145) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,219 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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