- The Pirates are -170 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Astros / Pirates TV Channel: SCHN | SNPT
The Houston Astros (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the Astros are 32-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 26-34 ATS.
Astros vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 0-1, 5.69 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 4-5, 2.15 ERA
Astros vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Astros vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+9.42 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-28 against the Run Line (+4.77 Units / 6.38% ROI).
- 32-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 24-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -18.9% ROI
- 33-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 10.06% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 26-34 against the Run Line (-15.25 Units / -19.55% ROI).
- 22-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.65 Units / -17.68% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -21.34% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 13.45% ROI
Pirates vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alexander Canario (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Horwitz (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Alexander Canario (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
| Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance McCullers has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (63/102) over the past seven days (1 game) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 73% of the time (75/102) over the past seven days (1 game) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 40% (21/52) against Lance McCullers in his last start — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 65% of the time (48/74) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 game) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .135 (163 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .084 (13-for-154) against Paul Skenes with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 98th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .206 (21 Total Bases / 102 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .258 (163 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — 97th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 20-18 (.526) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Astros are 19-7 (.731) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Pirates are just 9-63 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 2-12 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.078 (17 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have struck out in 35% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .363 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 36% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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