Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:45 AM
  • The Astros (82-47) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (58-69)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (13-4), 2.65 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (3-6), 4.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Houston Astros (-175) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+145) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 80-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-55 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +100O 7.5 -105-175
Rangers +1.5 -120U 7.5 -115+145

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+13.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 38 games (+24.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 54 of his last 88 games (+18.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 39 games at home (+17.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 63 games at home (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 116 games (+26.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 73 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+2.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 88 games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 65-61 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 3.41% ROI).

  • 80-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 2.39% ROI
  • 45-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -34.9 Units / -25.34% ROI
  • 74-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.25 Units / 17.33% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-55 against the Run Line (+9.6 Units / 5.98% ROI).

  • 55-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -9.33% ROI
  • 62-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 3.94% ROI
  • 52-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -11.38% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (245/354) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (291/426) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (97/138) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Framber Valdez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 378.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (27/180) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (106/180) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .753 (559 PA’s) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 17th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .335 (558 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 10th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 51-3 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 71-18 (.798) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 28-36 (.438) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 34-7 (.829) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Astros hitters have just 628 strikeouts in 3,488 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,148 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 26 strikeouts in 204 PA’s (13%) against LHP this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 2,175 strikeouts in 11,102 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,557 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (7,482 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (8,944 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,231 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have walked 13 of 108 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 107 of 1,133 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 446 of 4,836 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
  • Chas McCormick (Astros): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.