Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 11:26 AM
  • The Astros (83-47) are -140 favorites vs the Rangers (58-70)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (7-9), 2.96 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (10-4), 2.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (-140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 81-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-56 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +125O 7.5 -115-140
Rangers +1.5 -150U 7.5 -105+115

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 39 games (+25.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+18.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 54 of his last 89 games (+16.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 64 games at home (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 117 games (+27.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 74 games (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 66-61 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 4.2% ROI).

  • 81-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 2.83% ROI
  • 45-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.05 Units / -25.95% ROI
  • 75-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.25 Units / 17.91% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-56 against the Run Line (+8.2 Units / 5.06% ROI).

  • 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -9.96% ROI
  • 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 3.07% ROI
  • 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.56% ROI

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (452/887) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 39% (85/219) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (69/266) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (23/106) against Cristian Javier on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (222/1,030) against Martin Perez this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 50% (180/357) against Martin Perez this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 84th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (837/1,927) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strike rate of just 63% (1,221/1,927) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 72-18 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Astros are 41-6 (.872) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Astros are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Astros are 51-3 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 17-56 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are just 43-8 (.843) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Astros hitters have just 630 strikeouts in 3,497 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,183 strikeouts in 11,142 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,416 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 514 strikeouts in 2,818 PA’s (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,261 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,568 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 65% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *

Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 107 of 1,142 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 452 of 4,876 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 24 of 241 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (27 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D15
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
  • Martín Maldonado (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.