- The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Houston Astros (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Saturday, July 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 45-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 50-32 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -135 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+8.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+18.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 away games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 74 games (+27.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 74 games (+26.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 74 games (+23.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 74 games (+22.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 43-39 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 2.12% ROI).
- 45-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.44% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.47% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -6.53% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 50-32 against the Run Line (+18.75 Units / 18.28% ROI).
- 49-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 7.65% ROI
- 44-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 10.08% ROI
- 32-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.45 Units / -18.21% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (160/274) against Hunter Brown since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (126/223) against Hunter Brown this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (91/147) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (54/94) against Hunter Brown in two-strike counts this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .100 (5 GB hits out of 50 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners on base this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (38/262) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (72/138) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has an ERA of 0.91 (29.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.93 — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 44-29 (.603) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Astros are 74-48 (.607) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Astros are 70-9 (.886) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 44-28 (.611) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Rangers are just 1-108 (.009) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 457 strikeouts in 2,628 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 837 strikeouts in 4,709 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .544 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .368 (870 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters are slugging .304 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers hitters are slugging .323 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .857 (1,633 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros have allowed 3.43 runs per game (418/122) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 199 of 2,172 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (346.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Rangers pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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