- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: KDAF | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+118) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 46-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 42-47 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-0, 3.38 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-1, 3.35 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -115 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -105 | +118 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.90 Units / 297% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+16.20 Units / 162% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 away games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 46-49 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -8.39% ROI).
- 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -5% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.77% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -13.1% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 42-47 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -7.44% ROI).
- 46-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -2.11% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -5.63% ROI
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Astros are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Astros are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Rangers are 22-5 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Rangers are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Rangers are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have 62 extra-base hits out of 132 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Astros hitters have 31 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers have won 100% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — highest in MLB.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (481 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Rangers hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Rangers have won 88% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — highest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (426.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.
The Rangers have won just 27% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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