• The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Astros / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are 46-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 43-48 ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 7-5, 3.28 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 2-7, 3.97 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+19.20 Units / 480% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+20.60 Units / 229% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 46-50 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -9.08% ROI).

• 46-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -6.17% ROI
• 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.67% ROI
• 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -13.98% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 43-48 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -7.3% ROI).

• 48-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.15% ROI
• 46-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.14% ROI
• 42-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -7.61% ROI

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Astros are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Astros are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .631.

The Rangers are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Rangers are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Rangers are just 6-25 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 31% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,715 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rangers have won 89% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .307 (1,564 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Rangers have won 100% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have still managed to win 34% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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