- The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (+120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-145) on Monday, July 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 46-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 51-33 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -160 | O 12 -275 | +120 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | U 12 +225 | -145 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+19.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
| Cristian Javier | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 away games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+29.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 76 games (+28.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 76 games (+23.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 76 games (+22.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 44-40 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 46-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -4.73% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -4.19% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 51-33 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 18.46% ROI).
- 50-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 7.52% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -15.6% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (67/252) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (218/604) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .180 (27-for-150) against Cristian Javier this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (7/62) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 33% (60 SO in 181 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 15% (60 SO in 390 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his breaking pitches down 100% of the time (7/7) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strike rate of 69% (245/357) in two strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 9-5 (.643) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Astros are 45-30 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Astros are 61-33 (.649) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 28-17 (.622) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 4-98 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Rangers are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 848 strikeouts in 4,738 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 468 strikeouts in 2,657 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 91% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 23% of swings since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .367 (874 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters are slugging .300 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .357 (1,709 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (1108.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 200 of 2,190 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (346.1 IP) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Rangers pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Framber Valdez (Astros): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
