Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (37-23) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (28-31)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (3-3), 3.22 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Taylor Hearn (4-4), 5.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (-165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+135) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 37-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 35-24 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +100O 9 -115-165
Rangers +1.5 -120U 9 -105+135

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 375 0.5 -600
Brad Miller 0.5 320 0.5 -550
Corey Seager 0.5 275 0.5 -450
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 425 0.5 -800
Jonah Heim 0.5 375 0.5 -700

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -165 0.5 120
Brad Miller 0.5 -200 0.5 135
Corey Seager 0.5 -225 0.5 150
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Jonah Heim 0.5 -160 0.5 115

Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 145 0.5 -200
Brad Miller 0.5 175 0.5 -250
Corey Seager 0.5 135 0.5 -200
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 220 0.5 -350
Jonah Heim 0.5 180 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Hearn 4.5 125 4.5 -185
Cristian Javier 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 34 away games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.58 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 46 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.23% ROI).

  • 37-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 4.01% ROI
  • 19-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -23 Units / -35.01% ROI
  • 39-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.25 Units / 27.46% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 35-24 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 9.15% ROI).

  • 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.1% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.57% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -2.16% ROI

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 56% of the time (380/685) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (268/450) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 64% of the time (135/210) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (389/822) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Taylor Hearn: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .467 (14 GB hits out of 30 GBs) against Taylor Hearn with the shift this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .206 — 0 Percentile.

Taylor Hearn has allowed an OPS of 1.659 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 1.018 — 0 Percentile.

Taylor Hearn has walked 22 of 185 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .333 (30-for-90) against Taylor Hearn’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .221 — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Astros are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Astros are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Rangers are just 19-3 (.864) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Astros hitters have just 498 strikeouts in 2,736 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 1,171 strikeouts in 5,796 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .567 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .269 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (978 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Rangers are batting just .213 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (8,145 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Astros pitchers have walked 11 of 107 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (235.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (529.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.

Rangers pitchers have walked 55 of 528 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.