- The Astros (37-23) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (28-31)
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (3-3), 3.22 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Taylor Hearn (4-4), 5.40 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (-165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+135) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 37-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 35-24 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -115 | -165 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -105 | +135 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 120 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 135 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 150 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 115 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 180 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hearn | 4.5 125 | 4.5 -185 |
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 34 away games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.58 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 46 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 37-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 19-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -23 Units / -35.01% ROI
- 39-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.25 Units / 27.46% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 35-24 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 9.15% ROI).
- 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.1% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -2.16% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 56% of the time (380/685) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (268/450) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 64% of the time (135/210) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (389/822) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Taylor Hearn: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .467 (14 GB hits out of 30 GBs) against Taylor Hearn with the shift this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .206 — 0 Percentile.
Taylor Hearn has allowed an OPS of 1.659 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 1.018 — 0 Percentile.
Taylor Hearn has walked 22 of 185 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (30-for-90) against Taylor Hearn’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .221 — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Astros are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Astros are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Rangers are just 19-3 (.864) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 498 strikeouts in 2,736 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 1,171 strikeouts in 5,796 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .567 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .269 (4,405 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (978 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Rangers are batting just .213 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (8,145 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 11 of 107 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (235.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.03 (529.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 55 of 528 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
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