- The Rangers are -175 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Houston Astros (+145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 44-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 50-31 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -110 | +145 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -110 | -175 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 72.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+15.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 away games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 73 games (+26.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 73 games (+25.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 73 games (+23.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 73 games (+22.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 42-39 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.19% ROI).
- 44-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -6.6% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 50-31 against the Run Line (+19.75 Units / 19.45% ROI).
- 49-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 9.23% ROI
- 44-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 32-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.45 Units / -18.41% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (107/308) against Ronel Blanco this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has thrown his slider 52% of the time (321/617) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (10/52) against Ronel Blanco on breaking pitches this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 61% (62/101) against Ronel Blanco on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (25 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (36 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .346 (98 Total Bases / 283 ABs) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (28/82) against Jon Gray in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 43-29 (.597) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Astros are 67-14 (.827) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Astros are 27-17 (.614) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Astros are 65-23 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .644.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 52-39 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Rangers are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 4-97 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Rangers are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 451 strikeouts in 2,596 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,677 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .502 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .367 (857 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters are slugging .301 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rangers are batting .296 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (2161.1 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 199 of 2,154 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 224 of 2,915 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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