Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

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  • The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
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The Houston Astros (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-140) on May 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Jason Alexander 1-0, 7.30 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-4, 4.64 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -185O 8 -105+115
Rangers -1.5 +150U 8 -115-140

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+15.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Astros are just 4-13 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Astros are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Rangers are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rangers are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Rangers are just 1-26 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .265 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .443 with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .729 (2,082 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .317 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .604 (757 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .603 (473 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .207 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 24% of batters they faced (521/2,134 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 489.7 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 25 double plays in 335 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.82 (198.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.