Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Rangers are -150 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Astros / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SCHN | ESUN

The Houston Astros (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on May 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 25-28 ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 6-1, 1.33 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 5-5, 3.65 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -170O 7.5 -120+125
Rangers -1.5 +140U 7.5 +100-150

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Taylor Trammell has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.10 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Spencer Arrighetti has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 114% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+12.30 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 25-32 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -17.01% ROI).

  • 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -11.87% ROI
  • 31-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 9.36% ROI
  • 22-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -19.07% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 25-28 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -7.72% ROI).

  • 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -13.18% ROI
  • 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -17.94% ROI
  • 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 10.51% ROI

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +310
Jake Burger +360
Christian Walker +400
Joc Pederson +475
Isaac Paredes +525

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Josh Jung 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Christian Walker 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Joc Pederson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake Burger 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alejandro Osuna 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Rangers are just 1-28 (.034) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Rangers are just 6-26 (.188) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Astros are batting .263 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .454 with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,217 PA’s) with bases empty this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .289 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .617 (827 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .613 (476 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .329 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 24% of batters they faced (529/2,204 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 489.7 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 26 double plays in 352 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .227 against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (216.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.