Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Houston Astros (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Tuesday, September 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Astros are 78-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-63 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +140O 9 -120-115
Rangers +1.5 -165U 9 +100-105

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+13.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Nate Lowe 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Nate Lowe 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Nate Lowe 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Framber Valdez 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 away games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.73 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 68 away games (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 129 games (+19.42 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 77 of their last 129 games (+18.61 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+17.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games at home (+16.28 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 70-69 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI).

  • 78-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -2.07% ROI
  • 72-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.55% ROI
  • 64-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -9.27% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 73-63 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 6.53% ROI).

  • 76-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.42% ROI
  • 69-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.09% ROI
  • 61-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -9.73% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (40/287) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .203 (192 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .104 (7 GB hits out of 67 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners on base this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .083 (6 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

keys to the game – away

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Ryne Stanek (Astros): Ankle, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.