- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Rangers starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Houston Astros (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Wednesday, September 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 79-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-64 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 69 away games (+15.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.73 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 130 games (+18.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 77 of their last 130 games (+17.33 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+15.28 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games at home (+13.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 71-69 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 79-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 73-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 64-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -9.95% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 73-64 against the Run Line (+9.25 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 76-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -0.98% ROI
- 70-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 61-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.65 Units / -10.42% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 41% of the time (1,340/3,238) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 40% of the time (487/1,208) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .267 (138 Total Bases / 517 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (401/963) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .233 (14-for-60) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (125/370) against Max Scherzer this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Max Scherzer has struck out 48% (14/29) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .117 (12-for-103) against Max Scherzer over the last 30 days (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 37-19 (.661) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Astros are 95-57 (.625) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Astros are 75-42 (.641) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are just 122-20 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are just 6-121 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are 65-15 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 980 strikeouts in 5,468 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 600 strikeouts in 3,387 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,418 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .792 (5,391 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .843 (2,721 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 53 of 501 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 234 of 2,673 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Ryne Stanek (Astros): Ankle, D15
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