• The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Astros / Rays TV Channel: RATV | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on September 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Astros are 75-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 78-67 ATS.

Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 5-1, 3.35 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 8-11, 4.86 ERA

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.40 Units / 348% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+34.00 Units / 425% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 77-72 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 75-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• 73-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.03% ROI
• 67-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -8.05% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 78-67 against the Run Line (+21.2 Units / 12.03% ROI).

• 89-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.2 Units / 8.98% ROI
• 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -9.31% ROI
• 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.55% ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 64-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros are 55-4 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are 38-5 (.884) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 57-31 (.648) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 87-47 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 78-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 207 total hits (43%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 168 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .198 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .269 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .260 this season — tied for best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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