- The Rays (82-65) are -150 favorites vs the Astros (97-51)
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (9-9), 2.87 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (12-5), 2.12 ERA
- Watch the game on TBS
The Houston Astros (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Tuesday, September 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 6 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 95-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-72 ATS.
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -185 | O 6 -105 | +125 |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | U 6 -115 | -150 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+11.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games at home (+17.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games at home (+12.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 48 away games (+20.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+6.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 77-68 against the Run Line (+9.25 Units / 5.38% ROI).
- 95-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 4.85% ROI
- 51-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.05 Units / -25.86% ROI
- 85-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.5 Units / 17.73% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-72 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -1.75% ROI).
- 79-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.46% ROI
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (490/952) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .143 (74-for-516) against Cristian Javier since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (64/233) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (185/487) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (395/1,113) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .312 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .470 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .224 (486 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% (200/740) against Shane McClanahan on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Astros are 59-4 (.937) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Astros are 86-20 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are just 69-9 (.885) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 37-11 (.771) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Rays are 149-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rays are 50-8 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 810 strikeouts in 4,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Astros hitters have just 2,302 strikeouts in 11,801 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,796 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .398 (103 PA’s) against LHP this month (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Rays have scored 1.55 runs per game (472/305) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 65% at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (16 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 777 of 11,353 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,767 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 64 of 1,305 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 341 of 5,355 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
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