Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays (82-65) are -150 favorites vs the Astros (97-51)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (9-9), 2.87 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (12-5), 2.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Houston Astros (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Tuesday, September 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 6 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 95-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-72 ATS.

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -185O 6 -105+125
Rays -1.5 +150U 6 -115-150

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+11.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games at home (+17.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games at home (+12.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)

Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Siri 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Harold Ramirez 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jose Siri 0.5 +115 0.5 -165

Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jose Siri 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristian Javier 6.5 +115 6.5 -160
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 48 away games (+20.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+6.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 77-68 against the Run Line (+9.25 Units / 5.38% ROI).

  • 95-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 4.85% ROI
  • 51-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.05 Units / -25.86% ROI
  • 85-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.5 Units / 17.73% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 69-72 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -1.75% ROI).

  • 79-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -1.9% ROI
  • 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -7.59% ROI
  • 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.46% ROI

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (490/952) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .143 (74-for-516) against Cristian Javier since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (64/233) against Cristian Javier in two-strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (185/487) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (395/1,113) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .312 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .470 — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .224 (486 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% (200/740) against Shane McClanahan on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Astros are 59-4 (.937) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Astros are 86-20 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are just 69-9 (.885) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 37-11 (.771) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 149-22 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Rays are 50-8 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Astros hitters have just 810 strikeouts in 4,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Astros hitters have just 2,302 strikeouts in 11,801 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,796 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .398 (103 PA’s) against LHP this month (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.

The Rays have scored 1.55 runs per game (472/305) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 65% at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this month (16 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents are hitting just .211 against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays pitchers have walked 777 of 11,353 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,767 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 64 of 1,305 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 341 of 5,355 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.