- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
- Watch the game on NESN
The Houston Astros (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Astros vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 74-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 67-64 ATS.
Astros vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -110 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 10 -110 | -135 |
Astros vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+14.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Red Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Red Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Cristian Javier | 5.5 +140 | 5.5 -190 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 64 away games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.59 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 66% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 11 games (+11.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 66-66 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.98% ROI).
- 74-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -1.79% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -8.85% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 67-64 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.18% ROI).
- 69-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 2.04% ROI
- 67-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 1.81% ROI
- 58-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -11.44% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .166 (75-for-451) against Cristian Javier since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (346/942) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (63/241) against Cristian Javier on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (31/158) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (66/153) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 34 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Chris Sale. — Johan Oviedo has the longest active streak at 41.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (18/105) against Chris Sale on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (77/218) against Chris Sale this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
keys to the game – away
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
keys to the game – home
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Red Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Brennan Bernardino (Red Sox): COVID-19, D15
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D10
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Undisclosed, D10
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Graeber Kessinger (Astros): Health and Safety Protocols, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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