- The Astros are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Houston Astros (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Astros vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 44-51 ATS.
Astros vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 12.5 +100 | -160 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 12.5 -120 | +135 |
Astros vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+14.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.25 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+12.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Rockies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bielak | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Austin Gomber | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 64 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 away games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 46 away games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 36 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 48-47 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -2.12% ROI).
- 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -4.98% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 44-51 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -9.61% ROI).
- 37-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -19.41% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.05 Units / 11.64% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Bielak has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (134/257) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has a strike rate of just 57% (241/424) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (17/103) against Brandon Bielak this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Brandon Bielak has a strike rate of just 59% (586/989) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (53 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has an ERA of 7.32 (55.1 IP) at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.70 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .675 (27 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (202 Total Bases / 383 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Astros are 10-6 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Astros are 108-12 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Astros are 30-17 (.638) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Astros are 14-8 (.636) after a road loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rockies are just 6-23 (.207) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 24-9 (.727) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 489 strikeouts in 2,788 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
13% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,297/9,658 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 869 strikeouts in 4,869 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 168 strikeouts in 938 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .667 (975 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rockies are batting .279 at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Framber Valdez (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
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