- The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Astros vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Astros / Rockies TV Channel: SCHN | ROTV | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Thursday, July 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Astros are 52-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 33-53 ATS.
Astros vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Walter 1-1, 3.34 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 1-9, 5.57 ERA
Astros vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | O 11.5 -120 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 11.5 +100 | +155 |
Astros vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+27.00 Units / 386% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 78 games (+8.37 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+15.37 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 27 games (+4.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 44-42 against the Run Line (+3.72 Units / 3.47% ROI).
- 52-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 10.11% ROI
- 34-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 49-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 12.16% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 33-53 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -18.76% ROI).
- 19-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.05 Units / -38.14% ROI
- 34-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -20.67% ROI
- 49-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 12.47% ROI
Rockies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Rockies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Hummel (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Shay Whitcomb (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Ritter (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rockies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Smith (HOU) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Walter (HOU) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Walter has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 8th — Walker Buehler has the longest active streak at 7.
Brandon Walter had a first-pitch in-zone of 70% (16/23) in his last start — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 55% — 91st Percentile.
Brandon Walter has thrown 56% of his pitches in the strike zone (48/85) over the past seven days (1 game) — 5th best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 51% — 91st Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .340 (86-for-253) against Kyle Freeland this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .403 (50-for-124) against Kyle Freeland’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 7.94 (45.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (16-for-36) against Kyle Freeland’s fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 52-34 (.605) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rockies are just 19-67 (.221) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 17-59 (.224) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Rockies are just 54-21 (.711) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Rockies are just 66-10 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 47% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 145 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 19% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .211 (1,722 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.26 (381.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Astros vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
