- The Tigers are -155 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | SCHN | MLBN
The Houston Astros (+125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-155) on Monday, August 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Astros are 69-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 61-65 ATS.
Astros vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 1-3, 6.39 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 6-12, 4.78 ERA
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +125 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -155 |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+19.65 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+16.60 Units / 332% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+18.40 Units / 184% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 124 games (+16.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 away games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games at home (+18.33 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 71 of their last 126 games (+8.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 123 games (+7.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+6.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 61-63 against the Run Line (-0.58 Units / -0.37% ROI).
- 69-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 56-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -8.51% ROI
- 62-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.29% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 61-65 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -5.67% ROI).
- 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 2.45% ROI
- 64-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 55-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -10.88% ROI
Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jesus Sanchez (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jesus Sanchez (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .524 (11-for-21) against Spencer Arrighetti on the road this month (1 game) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (130 Total Bases / 208 ABs) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti allowed an OPS of 1.051 (243 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .758 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti allowed an OBP of .428 (243 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (349/531) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (349/531) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 35% (75 SO in 216 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
42% of Jack Flaherty’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 18th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 28-15 (.651) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Tigers (Ranks eighth runs scored) today.
The Astros are 29-6 (.829) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Astros are 48-33 (.593) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (Ranks eighth runs scored) today.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are 42-4 (.913) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Tigers are 61-14 (.813) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Tigers are 30-22 (.577) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Tigers are 73-53 (.579) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,588/10,774 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have put just 30% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Astros have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging .437 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Tigers hitters have been successful in only 21% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (333.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
