- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Houston Astros (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Astros vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 72-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 67-60 ATS.
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -120 | -175 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -110 | U 9 +100 | +145 |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Kyle Tucker | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 away games (+6.59 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 61 away games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 games (+7.16 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.63 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 117 games (+4.95 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 64-65 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.62% ROI).
- 72-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -2.02% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.56% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -8.34% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-60 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -1.77% ROI).
- 58-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 3.93% ROI
- 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -7.66% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (505/823) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (286/591) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (909/1,239) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning had a first-pitch strike rate of just 35% (8/23) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (79/466) against Matt Manning this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Matt Manning has struck out just 7% (2/31) of left-handed batters he faced — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .252 (32-for-127) against Matt Manning in non-two strike counts this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Astros are 88-56 (.611) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Astros are 70-40 (.636) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Astros are 104-73 (.588) after a win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are just 10-30 (.250) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Tigers are 25-6 (.806) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are just 31-44 (.413) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are just 15-54 (.217) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 964 strikeouts in 5,339 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 584 strikeouts in 3,258 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have won 89% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters have just 263 strikeouts in 1,408 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (8,002 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (8,002 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,233 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (2597.0 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Graeber Kessinger (Astros): Health and Safety Protocols, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
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