- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Houston Astros (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Astros vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 72-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 68-60 ATS.
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -130 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -115 | +110 |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 away games (+5.39 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+6.16 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 118 games (+5.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 64-66 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.28% ROI).
- 72-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.28% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -7.56% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-60 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.14% ROI).
- 59-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 5% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -6.87% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .424 (25-for-59) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — ninth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .273 (72-for-264) against Hunter Brown this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 14th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (184/348) against Hunter Brown this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .258 (83-for-322) against Hunter Brown’s non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 15th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .191 (131 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (39/50) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (13 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .217 (115 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 99th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are 81-18 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Astros are 142-13 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .869.
The Astros are 178-114 (.610) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are just 11-30 (.268) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Tigers are just 16-54 (.229) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Tigers are just 23-35 (.397) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Tigers are just 62-81 (.434) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 584 strikeouts in 3,258 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 964 strikeouts in 5,339 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters are slugging .581 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Astros have won 89% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (8,011 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (8,011 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,358 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (1271.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 368 of 4,819 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Graeber Kessinger (Astros): Health and Safety Protocols, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
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