Astros vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Astros (90-50) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (54-86)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (14-5), 2.63 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (3-4), 4.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros (-225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+180) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Astros vs Tigers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 88-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 62-75 ATS.

Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 -125O 7 +100-225
Tigers +1.5 +105U 7 -120+180

Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Javier Baez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Riley Greene 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 -140 0.5 +100

Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Haase 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Javier Baez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Riley Greene 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
Framber Valdez 6.5 -115 6.5 -120
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 82 of their last 127 games (+27.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 84 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 86 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 3.69% ROI).

  • 88-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 3.47% ROI
  • 48-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.7 Units / -26.47% ROI
  • 81-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.9 Units / 18.37% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-75 against the Run Line (-24.15 Units / -13.91% ROI).

  • 52-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -11.94% ROI
  • 53-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.5 Units / -18.1% ROI
  • 74-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.5 Units / 10.83% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (102/146) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (314/465) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (260/382) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (176/249) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 381.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 399.9

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (39 GB hits out of 104 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (20 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Astros are 118-62 (.656) at home since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Astros are 72-13 (.847) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Astros are 104-27 (.794) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 106-25 (.809) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Tigers are 35-6 (.854) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Tigers are just 150-175 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Tigers are just 56-177 (.240) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Tigers are just 30-98 (.234) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Astros hitters have just 667 strikeouts in 3,671 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have just 2,263 strikeouts in 11,532 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,706 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,706 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,937 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.