- The Astros (91-50) are -225 favorites vs the Tigers (54-87)
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown (1-0), 0.00 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (2-7), 4.08 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Houston Astros (-225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+180) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Astros vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 89-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 62-76 ATS.
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | -225 |
| Tigers | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | +180 |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+17.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Hutchison | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 83 of their last 128 games (+28.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games (+3.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 72-66 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 4.28% ROI).
- 89-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 48-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.7 Units / -26.26% ROI
- 81-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.9 Units / 18.25% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 62-76 against the Run Line (-25.15 Units / -14.4% ROI).
- 52-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -12.55% ROI
- 53-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.5 Units / -17.96% ROI
- 74-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.5 Units / 10.76% ROI
Hunter Brown: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 80% (12/15) against Hunter Brown this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (9/15) against Hunter Brown — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — fifth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of just .390 (21 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 92nd Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (4 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .413 — 92nd Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .221 (15-for-68) against Drew Hutchison when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of just .680 (82 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 1.033 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (4/17) against Drew Hutchison this month (2 games) — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 118-62 (.656) at home since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Astros are 104-27 (.794) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Astros are 16-106 (.131) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Astros are 72-13 (.847) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are just 83-95 (.466) at home since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 71-111 (.390) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Tigers are 20-15 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 25-93 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 669 strikeouts in 3,696 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 799 strikeouts in 4,356 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .599 (3,706 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,428 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,706 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (1,608 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (1255.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (630.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
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