- The Astros (75-41) are -135 favorites vs the White Sox (59-56)
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (11-4), 3.84 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (4-5), 2.91 ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Houston Astros (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-41 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -135 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 72 games (+23.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 74 games (+19.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 43 of his last 57 games at home (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Luis Robert | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Cueto | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 103 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 114 games (+19.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 100 games (+11.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+11.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 115 games (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.85 Units / 116% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-55 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 5.54% ROI).
- 75-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 44-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.35 Units / -23.15% ROI
- 68-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 15.06% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-64 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -9.91% ROI).
- 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -6.95% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.34% ROI
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (94 SO in 277 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (20-for-50) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 16th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (51/208) against Jose Urquidy with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (72/385) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (330/651) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (76/480) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Astros are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Astros are 65-14 (.823) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The White Sox are just 3-47 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,070 strikeouts in 10,620 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .350 (63 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .427 (260 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 1,030 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against White Sox pitchers this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 64 of 1,029 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Head, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
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