Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (75-41) are -135 favorites vs the White Sox (59-56)
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (11-4), 3.84 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (4-5), 2.91 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 75-41 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-64 ATS.

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +125O 8.5 -110-135
White Sox +1.5 -150U 8.5 -110+110

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.60 Units / 38% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 72 games (+23.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 74 games (+19.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 43 of his last 57 games at home (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jose Abreu 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Josh Harrison 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Harrison 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Leury Garcia 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Luis Robert 1.5 +175 1.5 -250

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Jose Abreu 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Josh Harrison 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnny Cueto 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
Jose Urquidy 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 103 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 114 games (+19.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 100 games (+11.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+11.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 115 games (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.85 Units / 116% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-55 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 5.54% ROI).

  • 75-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
  • 44-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.35 Units / -23.15% ROI
  • 68-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 15.06% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 51-64 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -9.91% ROI).

  • 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -6.95% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -5.79% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.34% ROI

Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 34% (94 SO in 277 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (20-for-50) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 16th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (51/208) against Jose Urquidy with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (72/385) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Johnny Cueto — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (330/651) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (76/480) against Johnny Cueto in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Astros are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Astros are 65-14 (.823) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The White Sox are just 3-47 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,070 strikeouts in 10,620 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .350 (63 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .427 (260 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 1,030 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against White Sox pitchers this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 64 of 1,029 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.