- The Astros (75-43) are -150 favorites vs the White Sox (61-56)
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (11-4), 2.72 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (4-8), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Houston Astros (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 75-43 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 53-64 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 74 games (+25.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 76 games (+21.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 45 of his last 59 games at home (+17.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.30 Units / 52% ROI)
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Harrison | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 105 games (+24.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 116 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 62 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 102 games (+9.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games at home (+7.85 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-57 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4% ROI).
- 75-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 2.42% ROI
- 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.58% ROI
- 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.56% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 53-64 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.54% ROI
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (266/392) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (223/324) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (89/128) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (450/648) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 16 of 81 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael Kopech has struck out 41% (14/34) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .139 (10-for-72) against Michael Kopech on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/173) against Michael Kopech this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 30-4 (.882) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 47-3 (.940) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The White Sox are 56-14 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox are 47-5 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Astros hitters have just 19 strikeouts in 169 PA’s (11%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 200 walks in 3,515 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox are batting just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
The White Sox are batting .252 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
White Sox hitters have 68 extra-base hits out of 233 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents are hitting just .214 against Astros pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Leury García (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, Day-to-Day
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