Astros vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (75-43) are -150 favorites vs the White Sox (61-56)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (11-4), 2.72 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (4-8), 3.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Houston Astros (-150) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 75-43 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 53-64 ATS.

Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +110O 8 -110-150
White Sox +1.5 -135U 8 -110+125

Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 74 games (+25.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 76 games (+21.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 45 of his last 59 games at home (+17.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.30 Units / 52% ROI)

White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jose Abreu 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Josh Harrison 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Jose Abreu 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Josh Harrison 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jose Abreu 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Josh Harrison 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Kopech 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Framber Valdez 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 105 games (+24.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 116 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 62 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 102 games (+9.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games at home (+7.85 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-57 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4% ROI).

  • 75-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 44-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.4 Units / -23.58% ROI
  • 69-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.4 Units / 15.56% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 53-64 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -8.26% ROI).

  • 61-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -5.5% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -6.51% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.54% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (266/392) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (223/324) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (89/128) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (450/648) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Kopech has walked 16 of 81 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Michael Kopech has struck out 41% (14/34) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .139 (10-for-72) against Michael Kopech on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/173) against Michael Kopech this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 30-4 (.882) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Astros are 39-6 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 47-3 (.940) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 5-42 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The White Sox are 56-14 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The White Sox are 47-5 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Astros hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,456 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Astros are batting .188 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Astros hitters have just 19 strikeouts in 169 PA’s (11%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox hitters have drawn 200 walks in 3,515 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox are batting just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

The White Sox are batting .252 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

White Sox hitters have 68 extra-base hits out of 233 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents are hitting just .214 against Astros pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.6 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Leury García (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.